Brian Foley

Mr. Brian Foley

President, Brian Foley Associates


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GLG News by Mr. Brian Foley, President

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Worst of Market Shocks Behind Business Aviation - Ripple Effect Then Long, Slow Recovery

May 20, 2009

European Business Aviation Convention Attendance High | www.ainonline.com

Business aviation has been one of the hardest hit industries during the economic downturn.  It seems the worst of the market shocks are over and there will be a long, slow recovery ahead.  Who will recover first?

Make or Break Year for Some Bizav Companies

April 14, 2009

Outlook for Business Aviation | www.ainonline.com

Describing the business aviation industry as in a “repression” (a cross between a recession and depression), Brian Foley Associates (BRiFO) president Brian Foley still sees light at the end of the tunnel -- but not before unavoidable turnover in the business aviation industry. 

US to Lead Elusive Bizjet Recovery

April 13, 2009

Business Jet Demand is Stalling | www.wealth-bulletin.com

By now we all know that the bottom has fallen out of the worldwide business jet market.  What hasn't yet been addressed is which region of the world will recover first.

Cessna (TXT) Optimism Premature

March 20, 2009

Cessna VP Sees Brighter Days for Jets | www.kansas.com

While we're delighted that Cessna feels the business jet industry has hit bottom, we think it's still a little early to proclaim this.  The industry has historically high numbers of used inventory to sell before customers return to the new airplane arena.  The economy, credit situation and negative public perception of business aviation must also improve before buyers are comfortable enough to part with potentially tens of millions of dollars for a new jet.

Used Business Jet Inventory to Peak Mid-2009

March 16, 2009

Corproate Jets - Deeply Uncool, The Economist 1/9/09 | www.economist.com

The new aircraft manufacturers, Cessna (TXT), Gulfstream (GD), Embraer (ERJ), Bombardier (BDRAF), Hawker Beechcraft and Dassault cannot hope to sell new aircraft until the current used business jet inventory is reduced.  That's in addition to delivery positions that are for sale, that is, customers selling their aircraft to someone else without ever taking delivery.  Insincere sellers are compounding the situation.

Bizjet Fleet Orders Shaky

January 29, 2009

Bizav Backlogs Shaky | www.ainonline.com

How firm are the major business jet manufacturers' backlogs?  For the first time in a major downturn they are peppered with literally billions of dollars worth of fleet orders from unproven, start-up transportation companies.

Business Aviation Downturn to be Deeper/Longer Than Generally Believed

September 23, 2008

Analysts Warn of Rising Pre-Owned Business Jet Inventories | www.ainonline.com

There are clear signals that the business aviation sector has begun its cyclical decline. There are a multitude of factors which drive this market, with the availability and pricing of used aircraft one of them. While backlogs are currently fat, are they really large and solid enough to carry manufacturers and vendors through the downturn? Investors need color on how long and deep the correction can go, and how long it will take to recover to pre-slowdown delivery rates.   OEMs like to assure investors not to be overly concerned as big backlogs and a strong international demand component will carry them through the downturn unscathed. We're not so sure.

What happened to the VLJ and Air Taxi "revolutiion"?

September 22, 2008

DayJet Parks VLJ Fleet for "Economic Reasons" | www.ainonline.com

Air taxi provider DayJet is now sidelined while VLJ manufacturer Eclipse remains on life support.  It appears that a successful wide-scale air taxi business model has yet to be developed.  This has implications for other start-up air taxi operations and the OEMs who are to supply the equipment.

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