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The United States Housing Crisis: A Look Forward

February 23, 2009

Analysis of:Home prices in record plunge | money.cnn.com

The recent and steady fall of home prices in most U.S. markets, now continual through the last quarter of 2008, is hardly a surprise with respect to the heavy competition represented by foreclosed or otherwise distressed single family properties. Such properties heap great downward pressure upon most all real estate markets and the current trends indicate no exception. Rather than to scrutinize the median value trends and take a look back, as so many have competently done, I prefer to look forward into 2009 and beyond. Being a seasoned appraiser and consultant, I will begin with those intangible factors I have always examined prior to any such study and they include seasonal influences, buyer confidence and the availability of financing. I will then move on to other more tangible factors that may point to the future growth and recovery of the real esate market or the lack thereof.

Rhode Island Value Trends Face Strong Downward Pressure Through 2008

September 21, 2007

Analysis of:Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership | www.kc.frb.org

My crystal ball is just back from the shop and I can now absoloutely predict a continued "softness" in Rhode Island residential property value trends until the Spring of 2009. Overpriced homes, foreclosures, a gutted technology job market in nearby Massachussetts and a myriad of other factors are working against any near term comeback.

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