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Resort Real Estate & Recovery Speed: What Comes Back Quickest?

September 30, 2009

Analysis of:Resort Real Estate: Preparing for the Recovery | www.hvs.com

In the current crisis it seems that just about all resort real estate segments—hotels; condo hotels; fractional and wholly-owned residential—have fallen equally far and equally fast. In fact, not all resort real estate segments fell as fast or far, nor, accordingly, will they recover at equal speed or volume. What segments are likely to recover first…at what price points…and in what locations?

Dear Bankers of America: Welcome to the Hotel Business

September 17, 2009

Analysis of:Hotels Deliver Some 'Jingle Mail' | online.wsj.com

When America’s bankers open the mail these days, they’re often finding “hotel jingle mail,” the proverbial keys to hotels that owners have walked on. Combine these forfeited hotels with foreclosed hotels and bankers are now among America’s biggest hotel owners. What do bankers need to know in order to be successful hoteliers...for as short a period of time as possible?

Dear Bankers of America: Welcome to the Hotel Business!

September 13, 2009

Analysis of:Hotels Deliver Some 'Jingle Mail' | online.wsj.com

When America’s bankers open the mail these days, they’re often finding “hotel jingle mail,” the proverbial keys to hotels that owners have walked on. Combine these forfeited hotels with foreclosed hotels and bankers are now among America’s biggest hotel owners. What do bankers need to know in order to be successful hoteliers...for as short a period of time as possible?

The Condo-Hotel Gone Bad: A Particular Corner of Hell

August 24, 2009

Analysis of:Condo-Hotel Buyers Head to the Courts | online.wsj.com

North America's resorts--and a few fashionable urban centers--are awash in busted condo-hotel projects. Who can resist a bargain? How can you go wrong at pennies on the dollar? Well, let us count the ways.

Canadian Tourism: It is—and is not—about the dollar

August 24, 2009

Analysis of:Travel to Canada hits 5th straight record low | www.thestar.com

Will Canadian tourism rise as soon as the Canadian dollar falls? What if the loonie doesn't fall soon? What if in fact it’s no longer all about the dollar? What if the tourism product is weakening?

The Hyatt IPO: A Big-Time Bet on Management

August 11, 2009

Analysis of:Pritzker family politics likely driving Hyatt's IPO | www.chicagotribune.com

The impending Hyatt IPO brings one of the hotel industry’s most famous names to the public market. It also brings questions about the particular risks and rewards within the Hyatt business model. Is it a bet on brands? A bet on real estate? Or is it most of all a bet on management?

Distressed Resorts & The Time-Share Solution: Who Let Them In Here?

August 7, 2009

Analysis of:Wyndham Targeting Struggling Resorts For Timeshare Conversions | www.hotelsmag.com

You've got hundreds of unsold resort condos or a white-elephant resort hotel to sell? But nobody wants to pay $500,000 for a resort condo or $50 million for a resort hotel. Well, maybe somebody would pay $5000 for a time-share fragment of this distressed resort real estate. Is is time to bring in Wyndham or the other time share guys? Potentially, but be careful, if you care about the long-term integrity of the resort.

Distressed Hotel Real Estate: Gold Mines or Land Mines?

July 30, 2009

Analysis of:A Hockey Game Broke out | www.hotelsmag.com

Billions of hotel-investment dollars will be misspent in the next three or so years, foregoing return levels that could equal, in scope, the loss levels suffered by those who invested in 2005-2007 vintage deals. The losers will be those who forego returns by buying currently-distressed assets that turn out to have elements of distress permanently attached to them. The winners will buy wisely in the next three years and achieve market-leading returns by 2015.

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