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Fragments of an analyzis of the Russian Energy Development Strategies

November 6, 2007

GAZPROM AND STATOILHYDRO SIGN AGREEMENT ON MAIN CONDITIONS FOR COOPERATION IN PHASE 1 SHTOKMAN FIELD DEVELOPMENT, International Herald Tribune | www.gazprom.com

The Shtokman contracting model might influence the future contracting regime in Russia regarding development of Russia's huge natural resources. If the Shtokman contract become a model for other contracts, it will reduce some existing uncertainty in the regulatory mechanisms affecting foreign investments.  The Shtokman model will not remove external investment risk in any way, but it seems to clarify who owns the risk in the different project development stages. This can make it easier for the parties to take ownership to the risk, concentrating on  avoiding the consequences. The Shtokman contracting model states that the Russian State  owns the natural resources, "regardless" of what company or consortium that develop the resources.

Analysing Key Figures reported by Industrial Contractor Companies.

October 12, 2007

GLOBAL CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK-OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS T0 2015 | www.globalinsight.com

Analysing Key Figures reported by Industrial Contractor Companies.  The Industrial Contractor Companies do have some characteristics The company equity is generally low The cash flow is project driven, The profit margin is given in % / operating revenues, typically 2-7%, and not compared to equity. The liquidation value of a company of this type is low.   Bjarne Østereng

New Gas Flexibility hampered by poor project executional abilities by the oil companies.

September 19, 2007

Tampen Link nears startup | www.offshore-mag.com

Tampen Link and other, marginal, gas provinces to be developed might face slow development due to poor project management. On the positive side there is: -    Strong Market Need for the Gas, and present high prices -    Increased transport flexibility to the markets  through new interconnectors between gas pipelines. On the negative side. -    Huge Cost overruns makes it difficult to trust the figures presented internally in the oil companies for internal and external decision makers.

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