Jack Lifton

Mr. Jack Lifton

Co-founder and Director, Technology Metals Research, LLC


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GLG News by Mr. Jack Lifton, Co-founder and Director

Analyses are solely the work of the authors and have not been edited or endorsed by GLG.

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Ford Should Have Bought Tata Instead of Jaguar and Land Rover

November 23, 2007

U.K. Union Says, "Tata, Ford" | www.forbes.com

Tata is trying to buy the Jaguar and Land Rover brands as an entre into the western European and North American markets for its future higher end, but still commodity, cars.

Add Together Wal-Mart, A Higher Limit on its Store Credit Card, and a Contract Assembly Plant, and You Would have a (Cheap) Car Sales Giant

November 23, 2007

Mexico's Elektra Plans To Sell, Produce Chinese Automobiles | online.wsj.com

The business model of Mexico's Elektra Stores is as attractive to Chinese car makers as it is frightening to all of the others.

Has Peak Platinum Production Been Reached? If so, How Will This Affect The American OEM Automotive Industry?

November 20, 2007

Worth its weight in platinum | www.nature.com

The production of platinum and palladium has doubled in the last ten years. Chinese demand for platinum for automotive emission control catalyst has just begun. Will western usage at current rates be possible if Chinese demand ramps up?

Honda's Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Powered Car is Just PR to Highlight Competitive Advantage; The Intent of the Exercise is to Let the Other Car Makers Know What State Honda's Development Program has Reached.

November 19, 2007

Honda to lease fuel cell cars in Calif. | www.businessweek.com

Honda has a state-of-the-art fuel cell reliable enough, small enough, and powerful enough to demonstrate as a short range capable power train for a small car. Honda is far from being ready to sell this vehicle outright, and the market is even farther away from being ready for it. The fuel cell is expensive to manufacture and the metals it requires are strategic and in short supply. There is no hydrogen fuel distribution system in place anywhere in the world.    

American Industrial Outsourcers Come Face to Face with China's Resource Nationalism, Which is Now Manifest in its New Rules Prohibiting Foreign Investment in Non-Renewable Mineral Resources

November 9, 2007

China tightens foreign investment rules | afp.google.com

A crisis is looming for those American OEM heavy industrial companies who depend on imports of key specialty metals from China for production of their products in the US. China wants to create and maintain employment in China, and it feels that it is only logical to restrict access to strategic and rare domestic Chinese raw materials to companies that make their products in China. American companies that have outsourced to China, for return to the US, the production of goods, which can only be made with raw materials produced in or controlled by China are now in trouble. China, for example, is today the world's largest producer of tungsten.

GM Purchasing Made an Incredibly Bad Short-Sighted Bet on Outsourcing from China

November 8, 2007

Can Wagoner Outlast GM's Loss? | www.businessweek.com

All of GM's real losses lately are not just due to legacy costs and product mix. GM is hiding, in plain site, its massive exposure to Chinese currency fluctuations and raw material costs.

Are Ford and Ballard each Floundering Outside of Their Core Competencies to Salvage Something?

November 7, 2007

Ballard is in talks with Daimler, Ford to sell fuel cell unit | www.freep.com

Ballard Power Systems was originally a battery company; it made lithium technology batteries for military power storage applications. Ford Motor Company was the first large industrial company to mass produce a car intended for middle income customers. Ballard knows very little about the design, power trains, and manufacturing of automobiles for mass consumption. Ford doesn't seem to know much about those topics either. This move, by Ford, is a poorly thought out idea, and just a waste of money.

Would Anyone Notice, Or, Even, Care, If Ford Stopped Selling Hybrids in America?

November 7, 2007

Ford will not sell hybrids in Europe | www.autonews.com

The Ford Motor Company hardly sells any hybrid vehicles.   Ford Europe has announced that they will not even offer hybrids there. Is there then any reason to continue to sell hybrids in America? I think the answer is no.

GM Offers Billions in Tribute to the Peoples Republic of China and Not One Cent for the Defense of the American Market

November 6, 2007

GM Will Color Its Strategy Green in China | online.wsj.com

General Motors' corporate managers have for decades adopted a business model based on a shortsighted belief in mainly short term solutions to long term problems; this managerial class, which is typical of most large American corporations, and universal within the American OEM automotive industry, assumes that market forces will always level the playing field, because they, the market forces, will affect all participants equally. This American B-school thinking has led them to their latest mistake with regard to the Chinese OEM automotive industry.

Only in Russia; Producing Primary Aluminum Utilizing Electricity from a Company Owned Nuclear Reactor

November 5, 2007

Rusal to take smelting nuclear | business.timesonline.co.uk

No aluminum producer yet has successfully managed to vertically integrate the production of its total needs for electric power into its process, because it turned out not to be possible to control its access to the coal, oil, or gas fuel for a dedicated electric power plant, or even if it might have been , it would not have been possible to predict or control the price of those energy producing natural resources. No where on earth, up until now, did any aluminum producer have 1.) the backing of a sovereign government, or 2.) the capital, or 3.) the access to technology  to even consider the idea of a nuclear plant to produce the energy needed for its processing of aluminum. Rusal, Russian Aluminum has all three necessary factors just enumerated in place. Therefore, Rusal's project is logical and market driven. The opposition will be fanatic, irrational, and driven by a total lack of understanding of advances in safety and risk management, and come from the outside and be ignored.

Doesn't BHP Billiton Benefit More From its Proposed Pricing Index Than Either CVRD or Rio Tinto?

November 2, 2007

BHP Billiton Faces China's Anger on Index | www.ft.com

BHP Billiton is geographically the closest supplier to China of iron ore. BHP wants the 2008 price for its iron ore to be indexed to the Cinese spot market. Who would benefit most from this "first step,' perhaps, towards an exchange traded iron ore contract? I think not.

The Toyota Top Of The Line Lexus Hybrid is a Marketing Mistake For Which There is No Rational Explanation

November 2, 2007

Pale Green -- Lexus's $100,000 Hybrid | online.wsj.com

Toyota has clearly decided not to wait around any longer for a safe, reliable, cost effective lithium battery for its next generation hybrids. Toyota also continues to rely on 125 year old lead acid battery technology for starting its hybrid cars, and safe reliable proven in mass production nickel metal hydride batteries for the battery part of the hybrid power train for its, and, so far, the world's, largest most expensive hybrid ever. What does it say, though, about Toyota engineering that a first  test of the $100,000+ Lexus top of the line hybrid results in a dead (lead acid) starting battery, caused it is guessed by leaving a light or accessory on overnight, converting the luxury sedan into a 2 1/2 ton paperweight?  It actually tells us all we need to know about this turkey; It was either a rush to market to try and steal the thunder from GM's newest SUV hybrids or to try and take the head off a presumed to be imminent Tesla introduction. Score it an error, not a run.

Lithium Takes a Step Backwards as Toyota Both Hesitates and Covers Its Bets

October 29, 2007

Toyota's First Lithium Will Most Likely Be A Lexus | www.egmcartech.com

The misleading title of this source article should be rewritten for clarity as "Lithium batteries downplayed for use anytime soon by Toyota.

Ford makes an incredibly insensitive blunder in communicating with retirees

October 29, 2007

Ford Retirees Receive False Benefits Letter | www.clickondetroit.com

Did Ford outsource the computer sorting of the ages and names of who should receive the letter it sent out to all of its retirees announcing a cut in health benefits? If it did doesn't this tell us a lot about the quality of IT outsourcing vendors chosen by Ford? If it didn't should some very careless and insensitive internal employees be disciplined or terminated? In any case how far does $1800 a month go to reduce out of pocket expenses for retirees buying supplemental health endurance to Medicare?  

Toyota is Stumbling in the American Market over the Issue of Being 'Green.'

October 24, 2007

Toyota's Cautious Green Strategy | online.wsj.com

The US business media are biased in favor of Toyota today, only because of a clever stratagem, the introduction of the Prius hybrid into the US market, in 1999. This bias has lately begun to backfire as introspection proves that the truth is the opposite of what even the Wall Street Journal, not to mention the New York Times, tells us about Toyota's product planning drivers.

What does a Strong Tiger want with a Weak Bear Stearns?

October 24, 2007

Bear's Slow Boat to China | online.wsj.com

The CITIC tiger is far the stronger of the two, so why does it wish to hunt with the weak Bear Stearns? The answer may be that CITIC will control any joint ventures between the two.

Will Car Makers Go Back Again to the Electric Car Future?

October 24, 2007

Hybrid or All-Electric? Car Makers Take Sides | online.wsj.com

The most recent uncoerced, by government, attempt to build and market an all-electric battery powered car was GM's EV1 in the mid to late 1990s. GM decided that the EV1 was a failure due to limited range  and performance, for its size, and withdrew it. Before GM could, if it even wanted to, introduce any further generations of electric cars Toyota surprised everyone with the hybrid Prius. Now the debate has begun again, but this time everyone will take a position and enter the market. What will now be the drivers for success in the market for the automotive power train of the future?

Iron ore prices will be completely controlled by the producers in 2008, 9,and well beyond because of the sheer volume of Chinese demand.

October 22, 2007

China's continued steel demand bolsters iron ore prices, miners | online.wsj.com

There is today, in 2007, simply not enough producing capacity for iron ore, globally, to allow the Chinese steel industry leverage in resisting price increases.

Should a reservation for a Tesla really be called a Ponzi?

October 22, 2007

The Spinal Tap Economy | www.slate.com

A late writer for London's Economist, Fred Hirsch, coined the term "positional goods" to define the buying habits of those we now call the ultrarich, the inhabitants of Richistan. The most important attribute of a positional good is that only a very few, ultimately, hopefully, just one, can own them. Isn't this exactly what a reservation for a Tesla, electric high performance car, has become? Is the reservation, itself, perhaps the only thing that a customer will ever get from Tesla, and even If so, does it matter?

It's no secret that GM is frightened of the cost of lithium technology batteries for hybrids. Gee, that's exactly the emphasis of EnerDel's announcement that its lithium-ion battery is the cheapest yet.

October 22, 2007

EnerDel to Unveil Lithium-ion Hybrid Battery | www.evworld.com

Lithium carbonate is not expensive; it costs today when its supply exceeds the demand only about USD$7 per kilogram. It will take about 2 kg of lithium for the proposed battery pack of a Prius size, or Saturn Aura size, car. The cost problem is not therefore for the fundamental raw material but for the construction cost and the cost of warranty and replacement service. Could it be that EnerDel is just guessing at service and warranty costs when it says its battery will originally sell for half the price of currently used nickel metal hydride battery packs?

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