Jack Lifton

Mr. Jack Lifton

Co-founder and Director, Technology Metals Research, LLC


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GLG News by Mr. Jack Lifton, Co-founder and Director

Analyses are solely the work of the authors and have not been edited or endorsed by GLG.

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The most important tie-in to the US dollar for the American economy is the remaining time during which many exchange traded metals are priced in dollars.

October 18, 2007

Money in New York: The Capital of Capital No More? | www.nytimes.com

The rise in the prices of exchange and non-exchange traded metals has been unprecedented in the last five years. At the same time the US production of most metals has been slashed not due to the exhaustion of resources but to the triumph of environmental activism. Therefore in the event that exchanges switch the pricing of metals from US dollars to other, now stronger, currencies there will certainly be end-use product price inflation completely beyond the control of US finance or commercial law.

Bear Stearns Does Not Understand that the Perilous State of Ford's Global Purchasing and the Company's Total Lack of a Long Term Strategy to Manage the Risk of Raw Material Price Inflation is Most Likely Fatal.

October 17, 2007

CORRECT: GM cut at Bear Stearns, Ford preferred | www.marketwatch.com

Ford has lost billions of dollars through poor management decisions in its global purchasing group since 2000. Ford's Global VP for Purchasing since the sudden departure of the unlamented David Thursfield in the early 2000s, has been Anthony Brown, whose sole idea of risk management is cost-cutting through outsourcing mainly to China. Now that the dollar is sinking, the renimbi is rising, and the prices of strategic and critical metals and materials has continued to rise dramatically Ford doesn't have any better idea on how to manage cost other than to pretend it can continue to squeeze suppliers without their having to compromise quality.

Toyota is not losing any value when even good people leave to go to Chrysler and Ford; Those leaving have served their purpose and are now are superfluous.

October 15, 2007

Toyota's Loss, Ford's Gain? | www.businessweek.com

The American business press is convinced that Chrysler and Ford are "poaching" good people from Toyota to try and obtain, thereby, Toyota's magic touch in marketing. Yet no Japanese people who actually implement Toyota marketing and planning have been hired or, indeed m have quit. Who is being obtained from Toyota and what do they have to bring?

With Regard to Natural Resources the American Free Market Capitalism Business Model is Badly Broken

October 15, 2007

Demand Drivers for Critical Metals: A report to Congress | www.resourceinvestor.com

The National Academies has just reported to Congress that the US civilian and military manufacturing industries are at risk of being crippled by shortages brought on by their growing dependence for raw materials on foreign sources that are, at best, politically risky, and at worst under the control of hostile regimes practicing resource nationalism. The American natural resource purchasing community is under the illusion that so long as they are willing and able to meet the price demand of even hostile foreign sources they will be able to get supplies. They are wrong.

Environmentalists are just now figuring out that Toyota's sole purpose in making the Prius is to sell more cars and trucks in the North American market

October 12, 2007

Environmentalists Criticize Toyota | www.consumeraffairs.com

Toyota, like every other car maker in the world, wants minimal non-market interference in its plans to make and sell cars that its customers want. Toyota also wants as level a playing field as possible when it comes to costly government intervention in the design, manufacturing of, or marketing of cars and trucks in the USA. Toyota also wants to make cars that are profitable.

Ford's Status as a Sophisticated Global Company is More in Doubt Than Ever

October 11, 2007

EU opens state aid probe into Ford's Craiova | www.autonews.com

Did the Ford Motor Company, which had, until the current CEO's tenure, a succession of CEOs who were not born, raised, or educated in the United States, gain any international savvy thereby? Apparently not.

It's difficult to judge which is more 'scary,' the price increases lately of raw materials or the ignorance of raw material price drivers shown by the public statements of purchasing executives like GM's Bo Andersson.

October 10, 2007

GM looks to substitute materials to reduce costs: Purchasing VP calls price increases "scary" and outlines upcoming plans | www.purchasing.com

GM's global purchasing director says that commodity price increases are driving him to seek to substitute magnesium for aluminum and plastic for steel. Does he or anyone under his management at GM have any idea what they're saying on this topic? 

Is There Any Russian Natural Resource Which is Not a Strategic Asset Which Only a Russian Investor Should Operate?

October 8, 2007

Russia gives Lakshmi Mittal, one of world’s richest men, the bum’s rush | www.mineweb.net

The Russian State has regained its self-esteem under the rule of Vladimir Putin, and the result is that his approval ratings within Russia make him invincible there. Putin does not believe in free market capitalism or the global economy when it comes to the control of domestic natural resources.   Russia's default on its sovereign debt, ten years ago, and its rejection of foreign ownership or control of its natural resources today make its state-planned economic approach to natural resource development make investment by foreigners in that sector foolish.

Why Can't OEM Auto Makers Simply Give Us the Numerical Results of Their Reliability, Safety, and Performance Tests on Batteries? Is Everything Really on Track?

October 5, 2007

GM, JCI Seek Feds Help With Batteries | www.autonews.com

We endlessly now hear from employees of the OEM automotive companies and of their tier one (direct) suppliers that lithium technology batteries are 'on track' in their development, and that they will soon replace nickel metal hydride batteries for use in hybrids, plug in hybrids,  and/or battery powered all electric cars. So, why did Toyota back off on its lithium powered generation II Prius? Why is the GM Saturn Aura hybrid powered by 'advanced nickel metal hydride batteries?' And, why on earth are GM and JCI asking for a taxpayer funded subsidy for the development and manufacturing of advanced battery technology in the US if everything is on track?

Why is ArcelorMittal Taking Such an Enormous Country (Political) Risk in the Face of Russian Resource Nationalism?

October 4, 2007

ArcelorMittal to Bid for World's Biggest Coal Field | www.bloomberg.com

ArcelorMittal would seem to be taking an enormous political risk with its capital in trying to acquire a very large Russian coal field as a source of coking coal perhaps for its European and certainly for its southeast Asian (Korea and Japan) operations and customers.

Is Mazda just playing catch-up in fear of the onslaught of cheap cars coming soon, even to Japan, from China?

October 4, 2007

Mazda develops catalyst to slash precious metal use | uk.reuters.com

GM has been using much less of the platinum group metals in its catalytic converters than Mazda, Toyota, Nissan, or most other OEM automotive companies for years, so what's the big deal, and, more to the point, why announce this at all now?

The City of Detroit is Dead and Nothing GM or the UAW Does Now can Revive It; This Sad Fact Could Derail the 'Pattern Agreement'

October 3, 2007

With U.A.W. Accord, G.M. Looks to a New Detroit | www.nytimes.com

General Motors negotiated an excellent deal, for General Motors, with the UAW, and both GM's and the UAW's top leadership hoped that it would be a pattern agreement. However the larger number of metropolitan Detroit-area located UAW workers at Chrysler and Ford facilities are already showing signs of resistance to the core idea of the GM agreement, VEBAs. The failure of this type of arrangement at Caterpillar, where a forever arrangement went bankrupt in just six years, a growing reluctance to help out those the UAW rank and file view as absurdly overpaid executives, and the fact that the steady decline of the American OEM automotive industry has been blamed entirely on UAW legacy costs, has soured the remaining UAW members most of whom feel they have given up enough.

Synergy May Compound The Weaknesses of both Steel Dynamics and OmniSource And May Not Make This Acquisition a Win-Win

October 3, 2007

Steel Dynamics to Acquire OmniSource Corporation | money.cnn.com

Steel Dynamics is dependent on scrap metal as a feedstock for its minimills. OmniSource is under competitive attack on its home turf from regional and national conglomerates. This was a good move for both companies, but it will reduce the effectiveness of OmniSource as an independent broker. 

There's no choice: Lease, do not buy the battery pack for a hybrid or all electric car or truck.

September 27, 2007

Tesla Roadster Deliveries Pushed Back to 2008: 245 Mile Range Confirmed | www.autoblog.com

The battery pack in a hybrid vehicle takes the place of a high performance engine in the economic valuation of the vehicle's depreciation. Additionally the battery pack will bring with it a disposal charge as well as a true amortization charge based on its remaining life. No one has yet taken this into account. This additional cost of owning and operating a Toyota Prius is about to hit the fan.

The UAW agreement to a VEBA may be its costliest error ever

September 26, 2007

UAW Concedes to GM | www.businessweek.com

If the details that have so far leaked out about the UAW's (pattern) agreement with GM then Ron Gettelfinger, the UAW CEO, may have well sold out his 'membership' in the long term for a handful of silver now. It will be, of course, the retirees who must pay for this mistake, if mistake it is, not the currently employed workers.

Will, or should, an American hybrid car be a sucessor to Toyota's Prius?

September 24, 2007

An American Prius | www.slate.com

General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler all made the same mistake in 1997: They failed to see any consequences for themselves from a Japanese carmaker's introduction of a new power train technology especially since it was based entirely on American technology. The then Big Three decided that Toyota was barking up the wrong tree and wasting time, money, and resources on a dead end. After all, they reasoned, GM had proved that even if the Detroit-area-invented nickel metal hydride battery could improve the performance of their all electric GM EV1 beyond the performance it was getting from lead-acid storage cells the EV1's performance would never match the speed, range, acceleration, and cargo carrying capacity of petroleum hydrocarbon fueled cars, and Americans, their focus groups assured them, would never be satisfied with less. GM then and therefore led the rest of the US OEM automotive industry down the garden path of 'cost cutting" as the only way to stave off the Japanese invasion.

Are Russian steel makers in the US able to operate independently of American owned scrap brokers?

September 21, 2007

Russia's steel wheels roll into America | www.businessweek.com

Russian steel makers are rapidly expanding their production facilities in the US. One example is Severstal's takeover and revival of Rouge Steel in Dearborn, Michigan. This mill originally built and operated by Henry Ford became moribund by the 1990s. It was then taken over by a Japanese steelmaker, which failed in its attempts to revive the company. Then came Severstal and the Russians succeeded where both The Ford Motor Company and the Japanese had failed. Why?

Does the Chinese OEM automotive industry have a hybrid or electric power train shock prepared for the US market?

September 19, 2007

China Worst Nightmare for GM, Ford | pr-gb.com

Chinese battery makers specializing in nickel metal hydride batteries for power driven small bicycle type, and industrial 'fork lift' type, vehicles have lately been consolidating. China is the world's predominant source of the rare earth metals needed to make the nickel metal hydride battery. China is also the world's largest producer of nickel metal hydride batteries.  It is true that the nickel metal hydride battery packs for Toyota's Prius are made in Japan by Panasonic and the nickel metal hydride battery packs for vehicles made by anyone other than Toyota are made, also in Japan, by Sanyo. However there are dozens of Chinese mainland companies making NiMH batteries for millions of power bicycles, and the sheer volume of this production simply overwhelms that of  Panasonic and Sanyo , even though the individual Japanese made NiMH batteries are much larger than those currently made in China. What are China's plans for NiMH batteries?

Is GM keeping the public aware of its hydrogen fueled vehicle research only to justify r&d expenditures or does GM have something up its corporate sleeve?

September 19, 2007

GM Debuts HydroGen4 Vehicles | www.businessweek.com

GM has the largest staff and the largest research facilities on earth dedicated to hybrid and electric car development. Is this just to make or give an impression of progress? If not, is GM now so far ahead that its r&d and its test vehicles already set the standards, which the rest of the global OEM automotive industry will have to follow?

If there is a deficit in the supply of rhodium how will carmakers build vehicles that are legal to sell in the US?

September 17, 2007

Identifying Peak Metals, Critical Metals and Strategic Metals, Part I: Gallium and Rhodium | www.resourceinvestor.com

Rhodium metal, critical to the operation of automotive exhaust emission control, is becoming scarce. A rhodium metal catalyst is the easiest, most economical, and most effective way to reduce the nitrogen oxides (acid rain formers) produced in ordinary internal combustion engine operations back to harmless nitrogen.  Rhodium, however, is only produced as a byproduct of platinum mining and, due to its complex chemistry, only about half of the rhodium originally used to manufacture a catalytic converter is ultimately recovered for reuse. The number of cars powered by internal combustion engines is growing rapidly. If there are no major power train changes, such as to hybrids and all electric cars,the rhodium supply will fall so far below the demand that car and truck production could be limited by the shortfall.

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