Nicholas White

Mr. Nicholas White

President, Retail Horizons, Inc


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GLG News by Mr. Nicholas White, President

Analyses are solely the work of the authors and have not been edited or endorsed by GLG.

GLG News is now G+ Insights

G+ is a community for professionals, academics and entrepreneurs to connect through online discussions and in-person meetings. You will continue to see G+ Insights (formerly GLG News) here as well as on the G+ website, where you can share and discuss the G+ Insights you read.

DeBeers Blitz-Too Late to Help The Likes of Zale and Signet

November 10, 2008

De Beers details 'unprecedented' holiday ad blitz | www.nationaljewelernetwork.com

DeBeers' decision to double its advertising investment in the US market comes too late to help retail jewelers this year; especially the middle market ones like Zale and to a lesser degree Signet.  However, leadership in rough diamond distribution and a renewed commitment to the US market could make a distinct difference in years to come.  Here's why.

Can Blue Nile Return to Growth?

November 3, 2008

Analysts expect Blue Nile to post 16-cent profit | www.forbes.com

Blue Nile faces huge challenges in the fourth quarter, as well as, in FY 2009.  Here's why the Internet's biggest jeweler's growth may slow to a trickle.

Sharp Drop In Rough Diamond Prices Signals Harder Times For Jewelers

November 3, 2008

Sharp Drop in Prices at BHP Billiton Rough Diamond Tender | www.idexonline.com

For the first time in a half century diamond prices are behaving like commodities.  Here why the $65 billion dollar jewelry industry is in for even more volatile times.   

Any Candidate for Sears' (SHLD) CFO Needs More Than Grooming

October 23, 2008

Sears grooms new chief financial officer | www.businessweek.com

With financial markets imploding and directors managing both financial institutions and the company they invest in, CFO's professional independence may constitute the last line of defense against self interest and greed.  Here is why.

Its Not Business as Usual at Wal-Mart (WAL)

October 20, 2008

In early holiday push, Wal-Mart cutting toy prices | www.reuters.com

Wal-Mart's early sale tactics could mean big loses for competitors, here is why.

Will Tiffany (TIF) Disappont?

October 20, 2008

Tiffany shares rise as S&P raises stock rating | www.forbes.com

Tiffany has defied current trends for luxury retailers, but the forces of weakening global economy and a deteriorating US market maybe catching up with the venerable Fifth Avenue retailer.  Here's why

New Zale (zlc) Management May Have Misjudged the Consumer

October 6, 2008

Zale making changes to business, analyst says | news.moneycentral.msn.com

Zale's new management team may have misjudged buyers motivations when building this years profit plan.  Now, with the consequences of the $700 billion bailout legislation just being understood, the error is likely only to get larger.  Here is why?  

Chapter 7 or Chapter 11, Circuit City Management Needs to Make a Choice.

October 2, 2008

Circuit City Posts Loss As Sales Woes Continue | online.wsj.com

Circuit City has passed being just another mediocre company that needs to be patched up.  Management needs to drastically down size this company or liquidate its assets.  Here's why 

Debt Rating Company Loses Faith in Sears' (SHLD) Voodoo Retailing

September 23, 2008

Sears Holdings cut to 'B+' on pressured opg margins - Fitch | www.forbes.com

Fitch lowers Sears Holdings debt rating amidst government backed financial industry bailout.  Here's why Sears isn't likely to benefit.

"Diamond War" May Mean Lower Profits For Jewelers

September 16, 2008

Diamond War in South Africa Forces DTC to Postpone Sight | www.idexonline.com

As DeBeers grows weaker, producing countries are demanding a bigger piece of the profits from rough diamond sales.  South Africa's recent demands may drive diamond price up sharply this fall and limit the supply of certain key sizes and qualities. This means jewelers may not get some product in time for the Christmas or pay higher prices in the 4th quarter for the replenishment of stock and best selling items. Here is why investors should be concerned. 

Finlay (FNLY) Results Disturbing

September 11, 2008

Finlay Enterprises, Inc. F2Q08 (Qtr End 08/02/08) Earnings Call Transcript | seekingalpha.com

Finlay's declining margins and narrow credit line, in combination with an industry perilous close to a price war suggest investors, vendors, and capital suppliers should be concerned.  Here's why. 

Can Signet Group (SIG) Take a Punch?

September 5, 2008

Signet Group Q2 profit plunges - Update | www.rttnews.com

By current accounts, Signet plans to ignore the price war that is shaping up in the jewelry industry this fall.  That could cost share holders a lot of value now and in the future too.  Here's why investors should be concerned.  

Zale-Analyst’s Enthusiasm Misplaced.

September 4, 2008

Analysts tout Zale's 4th-quarter results | money.cnn.com

As Zale increases its Fy09 earnings guidance, it is apparent management is promising the least likely numbers rather than the most probable ones.  Here is why investors should be concerned.

Michael Hill (MHI) Likely to Steal Market Share From Zale (ZLC), Kay, (SIG), Helzberg (BRK.A), and Fred Meyer (KR)

August 25, 2008

Michael Hill Buys U.S. Jewelry Stores from Whitehall (Update1) | www.bloomberg.com

Michael Hill's entry into the US market during the 4th quarter of 2008 may mean more than lost sales for mid market jewelers in the Chicago area.  Here's why.

Volatile Gold Prices Could Cost Zale (ZLC), Signet (SIG), and Tiffany (TIF) Sales This Fall.

August 22, 2008

Gold Price Conspiracy? | seekingalpha.com

Fluctuating gold prices and metal shortages could cost jewelers both sales and margin this fall.  Here's why.

Is Target (TGT) Missing the Next Retail War?

August 21, 2008

Target to Put More Focus on Value | adage.com

As Target shifts its attention to Wal-Mart, the dollar strengthens, oil prices fall, and commoditiy prices decline.  Here is why Target's focus on Wal-Mart may be an expensive distraction.

Limited (LTD), GAP (GPS), The Same Problem and Equally Mediocre Results.

August 21, 2008

Will Limited Fall Into The Next Gap? | online.wsj.com

Limited Brands and the Gap sell different products, but have many of the same problems.  Here's why results may not meaningfully improve for either company

Is Tiffany's Growth About to Unwind?

August 18, 2008

Tiffany & Co.: This Bauble is Losing Its Luster | seekingalpha.com

With global economic growth slowing, Tiffany's sales and earnings may substantially decline.  Here's why

Whitehall Jeweler's Liquidation Illustrates the Need for Industry Change

August 18, 2008

UPDATE 1-Whitehall to hold liquidation sale into holidays | www.reuters.com

Whitehall's liquidation sale will have significant consequences for publicly traded jewelers like Kay, Zale, and Finlay not only this fall, but in future quarters also.  Here's why. 

Timing not Strategy Revitalized Wal-Mart

August 13, 2008

Engineering a Change at Wal-Mart | online.wsj.com

Castro-Wright says his strategy, not the economic down turn saved the company's bottom line.  But, the facts don't bear that position out .  Investors should be weary of retail executives that believe their own press clippings.

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