Mr. Thomas Shewski

Owner, High Energy Services


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GLG News by Mr. Thomas Shewski, Owner

Analyses are solely the work of the authors and have not been edited or endorsed by GLG.

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Fuel Switching from Coal- to Natural Gas-Fired Electricity Generation

December 8, 2008

Oil Price Drop Forces Big Energy to Retreat | www.time.com

    Current natural gas prices of approximately $6.00/MMBtu allow electricity generation on natural gas to be more economic compared to coal in certain areas of the U.S.  This is further favored by the time of the year.

U.S. Thermal Coal Exports for 2009

December 8, 2008

U.S. Coal Export Boom Over for Now | www.guardian.co.uk

U.S thermal coal exports will be down in 2009 versus 2008 since the U.S.’s coal is no longer competitive into Europe and other world locations.

CSX Tariff Rate for Export Steam Coal to Rise January 1, 2009

December 8, 2008

CSX Tariff for Export Bituminous Coal | www.csx.com

    The CSX is raising tariff rates for export steam coal on January 1, 2009

Rate Case Demonstrates Coal Transportation’s Attractiveness to Union Pacific and Other Railroads

November 14, 2008

Oklahoma Gas & Electric Files Rate Case Against Union Pacific Railroad for Coal Transportation | www.stb.dot.gov

    The most recent Surface Transportation Board Rate Case filed by Oklahoma Gas & Electric (OG&E) against the Union Pacific Railroad (UP) for coal transportation from the Powder River Basin to the Muskogee coal plant actually shows the attractiveness of this move to the Union Pacific Railroad and other railroads.         The commentary section describes the positive economics around this Rate Case to the UP.

Surface Transportation Board Rate Case Process and Why it is Biased for the Railroads

November 14, 2008

Oklahoma Gas & Electric Files Rate Case Against Union Pacific Railroad for Coal Transportation | www.stb.dot.gov

    Another coal-transporting utility has filed a Rate Case at the Surface Transportation Board (STB) alleging excessive rates for coal transportation.  This most recent case was filed by Oklahoma Gas & Electric (OG&E) against the Union Pacific Railroad (UP) for coal transportation from the Powder River Basin to the Muskogee coal plant.                    The commentary section describes the STB Rate Case process using the OG&E situation and its bias to the railroads.

Railroad Fuel Surcharge Court Case to Proceed – Potential Costly Outcome to Four Class I Railroads

November 12, 2008

Railroads Face Price-Fixing Suit on Surcharges | money.cnn.com

    The suit alleges four of the Class I Railroads violated Federal antitrust laws with respect to fuel surcharge.  The four Class I Railroads in the suit are CSX, Norfolk Southern, BNSF Railway, and Union Pacific Railroad.  The time period is July 2003 through June 2007

What a Potential DM&E Expansion into the Powder River Basin Means to the DM&E, Union Pacific (UP), and BNSF

November 4, 2008

CP Rail Expects DM&E to Earn More than Forecast | www.reuters.com

    The Dakota Minnesota & Eastern (DM&E) Railroad was recently acquired by the Canadian Pacific (CP) Railway.  The DM&E has for years been proposing an extension to the Wyoming Powder River Basin coal reserves.  This project, if commenced, would upgrade an existing 600 miles of track and provide for 260 miles of new track expansion into the coal fields of the PRB.        When the DM&E was a stand-alone Class II Railroad, it applied to the Federal Railroad Administration for Government-backed loan guarantees for this potential project.  The submissions and comments related to this FRA filing tell of the potential affects on the DM&E, Union Pacific (UP), and BNSF.

Coal Rail Transportation Volume and Rate Increases Positive for the Railroads

October 20, 2008

Seminole Files Rail Complaint to Protect Its Members | www.marketwatch.com

    The year-to-date and outlook for many of the items transported by the U.S. railroads are down, coal transportation has been positive.  The discussions that follows list some of the positives for the railroads.

Labor, Permitting, Geology, and Inspections Hindering Coal Production, Adding to Costs

October 20, 2008

Interested In Workin' In A Coal Mine? | www.forbes.com

    Coal companies have issued force majeure declarations to customers due to various production-related issues.  These are discussed in the section below.

Refund on Coal Excise Tax Paid on Exports Contained in Emergency Stabilization Act

October 8, 2008

Coal Gets Help in Financial Bailout | wvgazette.com

    As the referenced article states, there are many benefits in the Emergency Stabilization Act for the coal industry.  One not discussed is the refund of the coal excise tax.  The commentary section discusses this.

Refined Coal – Things to Consider as a Result of Changes to Tax Credit Qualification

October 7, 2008

Congress Extends Refined Coal Tax Credit | www.marketwatch.com

    The Emergency Stabilization Act signed into law on October 3, 2008 includes an extension of tax credits for renewable energy and refined coal.  The discussion that follows includes items to consider regarding the refined coal tax credit.

Activated Carbon for Mercury Control – Potential Demand

September 22, 2008

ADES: Multi-Year Supply Contract with Luminant for Activated Carbon | www.tradingmarkets.com

    The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on February 8, 2009 in favor of the plaintiffs that coal plants could not be removed from the list of mercury sources subject to a Maximum Available Control Technology (MACT) standard and the subsequent movements to require EPA to set a mercury MACT standard for coal-fired power plants provides an opportunity in the mercury control space, including activated carbon.

Coal Railcar Market

September 22, 2008

UBS Cuts FreightCar America to ‘Sell’ on Price | www.forbes.com

    The commentary section discusses the current market and outlook for coal railcars

Natural Gas vs. Coal Generating Economics

September 22, 2008

NYMEX Natural Gas Rises with Crude, Damage Reports | www.forbes.com

    The fuel-switching from coal to natural gas affects the demand and price for each commodity.  The commentary below discusses what issues are part of the analysis of a utility or merchant fuel buyer on whether to switch fuel sources to fuel power plants.

Coal Transportation Outlook for the Railroads

September 22, 2008

Railroad Shipping | www.logisticsmgmt.com

    Although the year-to-date and outlook for many of the items transported by the U.S. railroads are down, coal transportation has been positive.  The commentary section below discusses the positives of coal transportation for the railroads.

Clean Air Ruling’s Potential Affect on Utilities and IPPs Long SO2 and NOx Allowances

August 19, 2008

Clean Air Ruling Raises Doubts Over Investments | www.cattlenetwork.com

    Court’s decision vacating the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) potentially affects utilities or IPPs long the allowances as described in the section that follows.

Regulated Utilities Benefit from Environmental Retrofit Spending on Power Plants and on Shorter Depreciation Period

August 18, 2008

Proposal Would Cut Oregon Coal Plant’s Haze-Causing Pollution | www.oregonlive.com

    When air pollution retrofits are placed on a power plant, a regulated, investor-owned, utility financially benefits.  An unregulated, independent power producer (IPP) does not necessarily financially benefit.

CAIR Ruling Makes it Cheaper to Turn Off/Bypass Scrubbers, But Unlikely to Happen

August 18, 2008

Power Failure: A Court Defeat for the EPA Leaves it Up to Congress to Tackle Utilities' Air Pollution | www.washingtonpost.com

    The Court’s July 11, 2008 decision vacating the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) caused the price of SO2 emissions allowances to decrease less than the cost of operating a scrubber to reduce the SO2 emissions.  The discussions that follow discuss this and the likelihood of this happening.

Coal- to Gas-Fired Generation Considerations: It is Not Just Fuel Economics

August 18, 2008

Gas Drop Buoys Dynegy, Mirant in Slowing U.S. Economy | www.bloomberg.com

    As the article points out, natural gas-fired generation may be cheaper than coal-fired generation in certain parts of the nation.  The section below discusses some of the items that go into the decision to fuel switch from coal to natural gas.

Court Decision Striking Down CAIR Affect on SO2 Allowance Pricing

July 14, 2008

Clean Air Efforts Suffer Two Setbacks | www.philly.com

    The court decision striking down the Clean Air Interstate Rule will have an affect on SO2 allowances and the SO2 premium earned by coal suppliers.

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