Mr. Mike Riegel

GLG News^SM Analyses by Mike Riegel

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Gulfstream & General Dynamics Miss A Golden Opportunity With Netjets

March 1, 2011

Bombardier Aerospace have stolen the march by landing a key order from fractional leader, Netjets. With an order for 50-120 Global business jets, Bombardier have finally realized the benefit of the technologies and risks they took, fifteen years ago, when they launched the Global Express business jet program. With a mature Global Express program, and a product family that still boasts state-of-the-art operating economics, Bombardier have put Gulfstream in a weak position in a key market segment

Forecasting Business Jet Demand By Aircraft Model & OEM. Easy, Right?

November 4, 2010

Forecasting in business aviation is popular: Honeywell, Rolls-Royce, Bombardier, PWC. Most forecasts have failed to predict the timing or magnitude of market shifts, making their predictions of limited use. They are even worse at predicting aircraft program volume or market share, the Holy Grail of bizjet forecasting. We have combined thirty years of consumer research, and the industry's leading analyst to create an index that can predict aircraft volume and market share.

Can Cessna win a war against Embraer?

October 19, 2010

Textron and Cessna have made some decidedly questionable decisions bout new aircraft programs. In recent years, they launched, and then canceled the Columbus. Today, we have heard news regarding an upgrade to the Citation X. During a week when Embraer took an order for 50-125 of their freshly-certificated Phenom 300 light jet, are Cessna diverting yet more resource they desperately need to refresh their light and super-light jets?

Bombardier's New Global Express 7000 & 8000

October 17, 2010

There is much excitement surrounding today's announcement from Bombardier Business Aircraft. In all of the excitement, however, very little thought has been given to market potential for the new Bombardier and Gulfstream products. New variants may well sell at the expense of existing programs, and neither player has presented a strong argument that new designs will enlarge the overall pie. These new designs might also force both companies to offer generous trade-ins for existing designs.

New Aircraft and New Players Coming To Business Aviation

September 30, 2010

Analysis of:Bombardier Launches It's New Global Express Family | www.streetinsider.com

Over the last forty years, Bombardier, General Dynamics Gulfstream division, Textron's Cessna and Hawker Beechcraft have dominated business aviation. North America has 20,000 of the worldwide fleet of 30,000 business aircraft in service, with many existing players assuming that life would remain the same. Embraer have helped change the game, with SOCATA, Piaggio and at least 2-3 new manufacturers close to committing. Now, legacy players are announcing new programs, hoping to retain their lead.

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