GLG News by Homebuilding Experts (Florida)

David Lereah, President

David LereahPresidentAltitude Alliance 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Record Deficit Bad News For Economy and Housing

October 22, 2009

Record Budget Deficit Cast a Dark Shadow Over Economy and Housing | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

The federal budge deficit is now at an all-time record and is about 10 percent of GDP. The fallout of running excessive budget deficits will likely be higher interest rates and slower and erratic long-term economic growth. Both would provide an unfavorable backdrop for the nation's housing sector.

David Lereah, President

David LereahPresidentAltitude Alliance 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Homebuyers Expecting Too Much out of the Recovery

October 15, 2009

Homebuyers Overly Optimistic about Future Home Values | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

The Case-Shiller home price index has increased sharply during the past several months, suggesting that homebuyers are expecting future home values to rise. A recent homebuyer survey confirms that homebuyers expect home values to significantly rise over the next 10 years and I worry that they are becoming over exuberant once again.

David Lereah, President

David LereahPresidentAltitude Alliance 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Some Mortgage Companies Could be in Trouble Next Year

October 14, 2009

Mortgage Lending Business Expected to Sink Next Year | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association's new forecast, mortgage origination volumes could plummet next year. That could be bad news for lenders that rely heavily on the refinancing side of the business.

David Lereah, President

David LereahPresidentAltitude Alliance 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

A Convincing Case for a Homebuyer Tax Credit Extension

October 6, 2009

Extend the Homebuyer Tax Credit | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

With the expiration date rapidly approaching, supporters of the tax credit fear that the housing recovery may stumble in the absence of this housing subsidy. Opponents believe that extending the program would be costly, expressing concerns about excessive government spending and a run-away federal budget deficit. They also believe that a tax credit program does not solve the problems of the housing sector; it only postpones dealing with those problems.

John Burns, President

John BurnsPresidentJOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING, LLC 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Short Sales Are About to Increase

October 5, 2009

Short Sales: A Fraying Lifeline for Homeowners | www.businessweek.com

Treasury is announcing new terms that they hope will encourage more short-sales. These transactions have not been very effective in the past, and while this is probably not going to be a game changer, it’s wise to expect the incentives could spur some level of increase in short sales.

David Lereah, President

David LereahPresidentAltitude Alliance 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Positive Development for Housing

September 30, 2009

Home Price Report Offers Encouraging News | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

Home values, as measured by the popular S&P Case-Shiller home price index of 20 cities rose 1.6 percent in July from a month earlier. Home prices also rose in June and May on a month over month basis. The three-month steady improvement in home values indicates that the housing markets may be stabilizing.

David Lereah, President

David LereahPresidentAltitude Alliance 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Mortgage Applications Drop Despite Lower Mortgage Rates

September 30, 2009

Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey | www.mortgagebankers.org

The weekly mortgage application survey released by the MBA reported that both purchase and refinance application were down which was disappointing news for the housing markets given that mortgage rates fell during the week.

Lesley Deutch, Vice President

Lesley DeutchVice PresidentJOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING, LLC What is a GLG Scholar?|GLG Scholar denotes Council Members with a CouncilRank(SM) in the top 20%.

Florida's Construction Industry is on Life Support

September 9, 2009

No Sunshine in Florida | business.theatlantic.com

In Florida, construction has practically stopped, and permits are continuing to decline. However, conditions are excellent for potential home buyers, and a significant increase in renters-turned-buyers could kick-start Florida construction out of its stupor.

John Burns, President

John BurnsPresidentJOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING, LLC 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Thank You, Uncle Sam

September 2, 2009

Hope can fuel bulls' charge as stocks rally despite worries | www.usatoday.com

We believe that the recovery will be W-shaped and that April was only a false bottom. Our estimate is that there will be a slowing beginning in December, and that we will hit the true bottom in summer of 2010.

John Burns, President

John BurnsPresidentJOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING, LLC 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Policy Makers, CEOs and Investors Beware

August 26, 2009

1. Mortgage Rates to Benefit from Stabilized Home Prices, Jumbo Mortgage Rates in Particular | www.examiner.com

The emergence of home price stabilization is spotty and should not be over-simplified. It’s important to look at the underlying indicators to see where stabilization is actually taking place.

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