GLG News by Homebuilding Joint Venture Experts

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

What is the Value of Your Reading Material

March 7, 2007

Valley's housing market shows more of a pulse | www.azcentral.com

The most recent article on speculative homes published in The Arizona Republic reports 12,000 to 15,000 units are sitting on the market - a drastic change from the 25,000 units reported by the same source just 3 months ago.  Do you trust the source of your information?

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

The Risk to Follow

March 6, 2007

Mortgage Defaults Start to Spread | online.wsj.com

Mortgage defaults and tightening lending standards should be on the minds of those active in the home building industry. Not only are subprime lenders struggling, Alt-A mortgage providers are experiencing higher than expected default rates.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Mr. Toll's Optimism turns Pessimistic: But is he Right?

February 28, 2007

Toll Brothers Net Falls 67%; Outlook is Cut | online.wsj.com

Last week, Toll Brothers reported a drop in quarterly profit from the same period last year. Perhaps more startling than the drop were comments from highly respected CEO Robert Toll. Wall Street’s housing analysts eagerly anticipate Mr. Toll’s regular comments, which are usually on target. Surprisingly, his comments turned from clearly optimistic (earlier in the month) to somewhat pessimistic last week.  Which way is the market headed?

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Horton's Early 2007 Phoenix Strategy: Volume?

February 20, 2007

D.R. Horton Orders Tumble 23% | online.wsj.com

Horton has primarily catered to entry-level homebuilders in the Phoenix metro area.  The builder has responded to current market conditions with even lower pricing than it previously had offered.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

An Emerging Risk in Emerging Markets

February 16, 2007

Home Lenders Pare Risky Loans | online.wsj.com

Subprime loans have become popular on the fringe areas of Phoenix.  Tightening subprime standards poses a threat to the market recovery.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Phoenix hasn't hit Bottom yet

January 31, 2007

New Homes Sales: Back from the Dead? | www.cnnmoney.com

Belfiore Real Estate Consulting data suggests the optmism created with the release of today's government data is not warranted.  The data is not refelctive of conditions in the Phoenix metro area.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Resales are Overpriced

January 29, 2007

Existing-Home Sales Plunge But Pace Is Expected to Ease | online.wsj.com

The "plunge" in resale home sales should not come as a surprise to anyone.  Resales are simply overpriced.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Watch for the "False" Bottom

January 26, 2007

New homes in the Valley | arizonarepublic.com

The article suggests new home building has "hit bottom" in metro Phoenix.  Regardless of what is meant by "hit bottom", the new home market is at least a few months from hitting bottom.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Is the Phoenix Metro Area Market Making a Turn?

January 26, 2007

Housing Glut Gives Buyers Upper Hand | online.wsj.com

Recent survey data suggests the market may have turned a corner.  Speculative supply appears to be retreating and pricing should soon stabilize.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Long-Term Population Growth will Support Housing Market

December 28, 2006

Arizona growth Fastest in U.S. | www.arizonarepublic.com

Arizona has now surpassed Nevada as the fastest growing state in the country.  This growth will continue and eventually turn current residential market conditions around.

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