GLG News by Homebuilding Joint Venture Experts

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Mortgage Rate Changes are Good News for Phoenix

December 11, 2006

Home-Mortgage Rates Decline | online.wsj.com

Lower mortgage rates support Belfiore Real Estate Consulting forecasts that inventory and prices will stabilize in mid- 2007.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Data and Methodology are Off; Spec Inventory at Less than 10,000 Units

December 7, 2006

With 25,000 spec homes, now may be the time to buy | arizonarepublic.com

The figures reported in the publication are far from accurate.  Our research puts the spec figure closer to 10,000 units.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

A Forecast to Take to the Bank

November 27, 2006

Why the Housing Forecast is Mixed | online.wsj.com

Everyone has an opinion on when the housing market will hit bottom and rebound.  We at Belfiore Real Estate Consulting believe you only need to understand one concept and follow one stat to predict the bottom of the residential market today.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

The Upside in Today's Cancellations

November 14, 2006

The New Word in Home Sales: 'Cancelled' | online.wsj.com

Home builders are struggling with high cancellation rates and will likely continue to in the near-future.  There is an upside to the cancellations, though.  Many buyers are cancelling due to fear- fear that will dissipate at some point.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

The Heat Should be Hotter

November 6, 2006

Some Builders Feel Heat From Holders, Lenders | online.wsj.com

Some builders seem to be feeding the downward trend in the residential real estate market.  You should demand the builder lay out a well-thought plan for turning around its business.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Inventory of New Homes is Indeed Driving Prices Down

November 2, 2006

Rising Inventory of Unsold Homes May Put More Pressure on Prices | online.wsj.com

Like most major U.S. metropolitan areas, the Phoenix area is indeed struggling with high levels of inventory, and thus declining prices. Current market conditions reflect a trend of rising inventories, increasing incentives, and high cancelation rates, which are likely to continue through the next several months.  Analysts shouldn't expect conditions to change soon.
 

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

A More Complete Analysis of Current Market Conditions

November 2, 2006

Prices of Houses Slip Again | www.azcentral.com

While the Arizona Republic quotes an economist from a respected local consulting firm and a housing analyst from Arizona State University, its Tuesday, September 13th "Prices of houses slip again" article misses the mark. As is the case all too often with newspaper and magazine articles, the data presented is limited, and the conclusions drawn from the data are incorrect.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Pressure will push Housing Prices Further South

November 1, 2006

Housing Decline Sparks Slowdown in Construction | online.wsj.com

As speculative new housing supply continues to increase and many builders face the pressure of year-end reporting, prices will be forced further downward.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Phoenix: Today's Market and Tomorrow

October 31, 2006

Home Prices Keep Sliding; Buyers Sit Tight | online.wsj.com

This review is a republication of Belfiore Real Estate Consulting's October 2, 2006 - KnowledgeBase Current and Future Market Conditions Insight Publication.  The article is lengthy with information on the metro area and one of four metro area regions.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Option Financing the most Interesting Story to Follow

October 27, 2006

Cooldown Catching up with Builders | www.azcentral.com

Those following home builders and the effect of option contract defaults should watch closely during the next few weeks.  Default notices are eminent for some of the big builders.

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