GLG News by Land Acquisition Experts (US)

David KellerFormer Chief Executive OfficerUNITED SUBCONTRACTORS, INC. What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

What is the 2008 outlook for homebuilding?

January 14, 2008

Analyzing Homebuilder Risks | seekingalpha.com

What will happen in 2008 for the homebuilding industry? Will cash be generated? Will there be failures? Will there be profits?

Steve Bottfeld, Principal

Steve BottfeldPrincipalMarketing Solutions What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

WHAT REALLY IMPACTS THE FUTURE OF LAS VEGAS REAL ESTATE

January 2, 2008

LV Valley housing still in the basement | lvrj.com

    The one constant in Las Vegas is change.      Sadly, too many analysts suffer from marketing myopia when they examine change.  They’re like the boxer who can see the jab, but misses the uppercut.      Take a close look at the housing statistics for 2007. They are terrible, no matter from which angle you examine them.  The doomsayer analysts gleefully tell you they are evidence of change in the credit markets or changes in pricing structures which become insurmountable obstacles to purchase activity.     But, that analysis is only partly correct.

David KellerFormer Chief Executive OfficerUNITED SUBCONTRACTORS, INC. What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Income tax update for homebuilders

December 31, 2007

INCOME TAX UPDATE FOR HOMEBUILDERS | online.wsj.com

What are the econonmic and cash impacts from a tax standpoint of large impairment losses recorded by homebuilders?  How/when can cash be recovered from these losses?

David KellerFormer Chief Executive OfficerUNITED SUBCONTRACTORS, INC. What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Homebuilding Gross Margins May Not Be What They Seem

December 31, 2007

Homebuilding Gross Margins May not Be What They Seem | online.wsj.com

Some reported gross margins from home sales may appear to be higher than they really are.  Investors should be alert for situations where reported gross margins are inflated by prior inventory writedowns.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

'Tis the Season

December 26, 2007

How Hot Land Sales Offset A Housing Glut in Phoenix | online.wsj.com

When Mr. Corkery wrote this article more than 2 weeks ago, the reality is few land sales were occurring in Phoenix.  His timing was off: several thousand lots and option agreements are now being signed, as builder's rush to remove lots from their balance sheets prior to year-end.

Steve Bottfeld, Principal

Steve BottfeldPrincipalMarketing Solutions What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

AN UNHAPPY HOLIDAY; A HAPPY NEW YEAR

December 19, 2007

Gambling on Las Vegas Real Estate | www.nuwireinvestor.com

    The housing Grinch appears to be packing his bags this holiday season and getting ready to leave Las Vegas.  November’s housing statistics suggest that Las Vegas may be the first major market in the United States to begin recovery.  It was reported that the Grinch, who has a degree in economics, learned that inventory dropped sharply.  Knowing that inventory is a leading indicator and sales/pricing is a lagging indicator, the Grinch knew that the Christmas bells were tolling for him.

Steve Bottfeld, Principal

Steve BottfeldPrincipalMarketing Solutions What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

A NEW PERSPECTIVE ON HOUSING DEMAND: The Next Las Vegas Boom

November 19, 2007

LOCAL HOUSING SHORTAGE AHEAD, REPORT PREDICTS | www.lvrj.com

     The NAHB has predicted that the real estate downturn will bottom in the first or second quarter of 2008. Several recent studies have indicated that the balance in housing “fundamentals” may be slowly returning to normal.        These studies concentrate on supply and demand. Virtually all of them correctly analyze supply. Virtually none of them correctly analyze demand.            Changing demand is a major reason why Las Vegas may very well be the first market out of the housing slump. It is also the reason why some major builders may not recover as quickly as the NAHB has predicted.           In the 1980’s, a home entertainment center was required to sell a home. In today’s market, the home must be in the center of “entertainment” to be sold.

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Job Growth, 2008, and Phoenix Single-Family Demand

November 13, 2007

Mortgage Industry Needs More Layoffs, Analysts Say | www.azcentral.com

Phoenix metro area employment and population growth will slow in 2008.  Consequently, so will demand for new housing, but how much will it slow?  How do you forecast employment growth?

Steve Bottfeld, Principal

Steve BottfeldPrincipalMarketing Solutions What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

CAN YOU SPELL "ASSUME"?

November 12, 2007

A Bank Bet on Condos, but Buyers Want Out | www.nytimes.com

Mr. Burns makes two assumption errors in what is otherwise an outstanding analysis regarding the "near-future" of condominium development. His assumption regarding  attitudes towards HOA's is incorrect ... as is his statement that the Hi-Rise condo market in Las Vegas will succumb to the current economic environment. 

Jim Belfiore, President

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Credit Availability will Determine Future

November 2, 2007

Fresh Credit Worries Grip Markets | online.wsj.com

When making your determination on the future of the economy, how many units will be sold next year, or how many people will move to Phoenix, consider how banks have reacted to bad news this year; the statistics above; and how lenders may react to bad news next year.

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