GLG News by Metallurgical Coal Experts

Craig Marston, Managing Director

Craig MarstonManaging DirectorCEM Marine 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Despite Earnings Release, NM Is Underpriced

February 19, 2009

Navios net dives | www.tradewinds.no

Navios Maritime reported a 56% decline in earnings, consisting of several relatively small losses on warrants, swaps, doubtful FFA accounts and newbuild cancellation fees.  A signficant amount of the reduction in earnings was attributable to the spin-off of Navios Partners.

Craig Marston, Managing Director

Craig MarstonManaging DirectorCEM Marine 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Supramax Market Players Well Positioned

February 17, 2009

Eagle cut to sell | www.tradewinds.no

The Supramax market is likely to be the most resilient during the coming weak 2009-2010 dry bulk markets due to growing demand and significant fleet age.

Craig Marston, Managing Director

Craig MarstonManaging DirectorCEM Marine 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Not A Good Time To Be In The Bottom Of The Top 20 Liner Companies

February 17, 2009

Barge Rates Float Upward | www.americanshipper.com

As reported in Tradewinds, AXS-Alphaliner estimates that 392 containerships, representing 1.1M TEU's, is currently idle as carriers adjust capacity to weak demand.  An additional 1.8M TEU's in new capacity will enter the market this year.  AXS-Alphaliner estimates that excess capacity could persist until 2014.

Craig Marston, Managing Director

Craig MarstonManaging DirectorCEM Marine 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Dry Bulk Rally Will Be Short Lived

February 17, 2009

ArcelorMittal predicts steel bounce-back | www.lloydslist.com

Minor movements in iron ore demand predictably pushed spot rates north.  Times will get better when contract negotiations are finalized, but the good times won't last through the summer.

Sam Timpano, President

Sam TimpanoPresidentSam Timpano & Associates 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Mr. Obama is running out of time and so is the country

February 13, 2009

Failure to Rise | www.nytimes.com

The current crisis in America is not of a type that will grant much more time to the administration to address correctly. So far, this President's lack of experience in leadership and Congressional "business as usual" and power playing are costing everyone valuable time and exposing the country to greater risks. The bold steps needed at this time are available from the Japanese experience of the 1990's but noone is taking many lessons even the newest economic student could give them.

Thomas ShewskiOwnerHigh Energy Services 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Activated Carbon Potential for Mercury Control if a Maximum Available Control Technology Standard is Implemented

February 9, 2009

Emitting Defeat: EPA to Drop Bush’s Controversial Mercury Emissions Policies and Begin New Rulemaking Process | gristmill.grist.org

    The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on February 8, 2009 in favor of the plaintiffs that coal plants could not be removed from the list of mercury sources subject to a Maximum Available Control Technology (MACT) standard.  The Bush Administration filed an appeal of this.  The Obama Administration dropped this appeal.  This sets up the potential for Congress/EPA to establish a Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) standard for mercury removal from coal-fired plants.

Thomas ShewskiOwnerHigh Energy Services 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Coal Supply Response to Decreased Demand

February 9, 2009

Steelmakers’ Woes Hit Coal Miner Massey’s Profits | uk.reuters.com

Thermal coal consumption is down as a result of lower electricity usage, less industrial demand, fuel switching to natural gas as a result of low natural gas prices and high emissions costs on coal-fired generation, high inventories at many coal plants, and falling exports.   Metallurgical coal demand is down due to steel demand being off. 

Thomas ShewskiOwnerHigh Energy Services 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Class I Railroads' Coal Volumes to Be Down in 2009

February 9, 2009

Transportation and Logistics Rates Will Largely Depend on Capacity, Fuel, and the Overall Economy | www.logisticsmgmt.com

    Coal demand will be down in 2009 due to the economy, high inventories at coal plants, competitive switching to less expensive natural gas for electricity generation, high emissions prices for coal plants, less met coal needed for steel, and less exports.  This will affect the railroads since approximately 70% of the U.S.’s coal moves by rail at some point in the transportation chain.

Thomas ShewskiOwnerHigh Energy Services 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

CO2 Emissions Cap and Trade Program’s Mechanics and Cost to Electricity

February 9, 2009

How Carbon Caps Will Affect Utilities Sector | seekingalpha.com

    The proposals in Congress and the Obama Administration for a reduction in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions include what is called a “Cap and Trade” program.  Under a Cap and Trade program, the amount of annual CO2 emissions would be capped and an entity would have to have a CO2 allowance for each ton (or metric ton depending on the final wording of the law) emitted during the year

Craig Marston, Managing Director

Craig MarstonManaging DirectorCEM Marine 
          What is a GLG Leader?|The Gerson Lehrman Group&reg; (GLG) Leader Program<sup>SM</sup> is our premium Member Program<sup>SM</sup>. Those identified as GLG Leaders are in the top 5% of GLG CouncilRank and have an exclusivity agreement with GLG.

Container Ship Cancellations Too Late

February 6, 2009

Barge Rates Float Upward | www.americanshipper.com

As reported in Tradewinds, Zim Integrated Shipping Services is the latest liner shipping firm to approach asian shipyards to negotiate newbuild cancellations or deferments.  The industry response is too late to salvage the 2009-10 market.

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