January 28, 2010
Home Prices: First Drop in Seven Months | money.cnn.com
When seasonally adjusted, the figures from the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index do not appear too bad. The numbers, however, do not reflect the shadow inventories of lenders who are simply not foreclosing because of backed-up REO departments, moratoriums, postponement-oriented loan modifications, etc. In addition to said inventories, do not forget the portfolios of Alt-A loans that are only now starting to go delinquent, namely the Pay-Option ARM's.
Lower Rates, While Great, Do Little For Jumbo Lending
October 1, 2009
Real Estate Outlook: Mortgage Rate Dip Impacts Housing | realtytimes.com
The Realty Times article reflects the positive effects of lower interest rates on mortgage originations and home purchases, but fails to note the failure of said rates to transcend the conforming/conventional markets into the jumbo markets. The implications of this failure are that many homeowners in the higher cost states (CA, NY, MA, etc.) still cannot get competitive financing; thus, driving home prices down further.
September 28, 2009
KB Home Loss Narrows on Fewer Write-Downs | online.wsj.com
KB, a lower cost builder, is benefitting from the perception that we have hit the bottom. We have not. Thus, the peak of the inside of the "W" is about to wane.
Round II: Coming to a neighborhood near you
September 25, 2009
"Option" mortgages to explode, officials warn | www.linkedin.com
While a very general description of the Pay Option ARM disaster that is looming, the Reuters article is dead-on in two conclusions: many more homes will be hitting the market over the course of the next two and one-half years and that the mortgage plague that started with the subprime crisis will be moving from the lower income strata to the middle and higher income areas.
Deutsche Bank Recognizes the Depth and Width of "A" Paper Crisis to Come
August 21, 2009
Deutsche Bank on those drowning US homeowners | ftalphaville.ft.com
The depth of the "Alt A" mortgage crisis is coming home to roost. We are likely to see the depreciate creep (or flood as the case may be) is going to hit the areas that the subprime loans barely touched.
I hate to say I told you so, but.....
August 11, 2009
About Half Of U.S. Mortgages Seen Underwater By 2011 | www.reuters.com
We have a perfect storm brewing in the housing real estate market. All facts point to a furthur drop in values.
Article should be titled: "Fed Moves To Curb Lending Further"
July 24, 2009
Fed moves to curb housing abuses | money.cnn.com
Limiting Compensation on "sub-prime" loans will kill the industry as well as stifle lending even further.
Home Prices: This slide is but a taste of things to come
June 4, 2009
Home prices slide 14% | money.cnn.com
Although steep declines in home values are enticing new homebuyers, the overall affordability indices are troublesome. Existing "A" paper laon portfolios suggest trouble ahead. Further declines are not only coming, they should be welcome.
Bush, Bernanke, BandAids & Bloodletting
September 7, 2007
Bush, Bernanke Pledge To Stabilize Mortgage Meltdown | www.consumeraffairs.com
*Recent Bush proposals ease anxiety more than solve issues. *Some parts of proposals may worsen the foreclosure markets. *FHA is overdue reform, despite markets. *Bloodletting is necessary.
At this point, who cares about Q2!?
September 5, 2007
U.S. Housing Market Conditions | www.huduser.org
The HUD report means little at this point. We need to be looking forward.
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